2024 NBA picks, March 12 predictions from proven model

We’ve got another exciting Southwest Division matchup on the schedule as the San Antonio Spurs and Houston Rockets are set to tip at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday at Frost Bank Center. San Antonio is 14-51 overall and 7-22 at home, while Houston is 29-35 overall and 8-24 on the road. The Rockets have dominated this series in recent years, winning four of the last five matchups against the Spurs.

This time around, the Rockets are favored by 4 points in the latest Spurs vs. Rockets odds, and the over/under is 222.5 points. Before entering any Rockets vs. Spurs picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 21 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 70-46 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Houston vs. San Antonio. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for the game:

Spurs vs. Rockets spread: Spurs +4
Spurs vs. Rockets over/under: 222.5 points
Spurs vs. Rockets money line: Spurs: +146, Rockets: -175
Spurs vs. Rockets picks: See picks here
What you need to know about the Spurs
The Spurs traveled a rocky road last season, and unfortunately for San Antonio, the road hasn’t gotten any smoother. The Spurs fell 112-102 to the Golden State Warriors on Monday. San Antonio is now 4-15 in its last 19 games.

Victor Wembanyama continued his impressive rookie campaign in Monday’s loss. He finished with 27 points and 14 rebounds against Golden State. For the season, Wembanyama is averaging 20.8 points, 10.3 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game.

What you need to know about the Rockets
Meanwhile, winning is a little bit easier when your 3-point shooting is a whole 22.6% better than the opposition, a fact the Rockets proved on Sunday. They walked away with a 112-104 victory over the Sacramento Kings. The victory came about thanks to a strong surge starting at the 9:10 mark of the second quarter, when the Rockets were facing a 42-29 deficit.

Among those leading the charge was Fred VanVleet, who almost dropped a double-double with 22 points and nine assists. Jabari Smith Jr. recorded a double-double in Sunday’s victory, finishing with 10 points and 11 rebounds. The Rockets are now 4-1 in its last five games and are 6-0 against the spread in their last six contests overall.

How to make Spurs vs. Rockets picks
The model has simulated Spurs vs. Rockets 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that hits in nearly 70% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

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